Here's the deal...it's a theory...a rather far-out theory that contradicts eyewitnesses seeing missiles flying up and, explosives detected in the plane, and military operations in the area, and random fuel tank explosions being pretty rare...
...and unfortunately, in some ways, this was one of the first crashes where the NTSB decided to use "Public Relation's" methodology (not all that well, too), and make films with somewhat condescending narration..."no, you didn't see a missile, you saw the plane".
It's fairly easy to attack a far-out theory, so there may be no end in sight in folks like Avion who happen to not-believe the official theory- and it's not good science to arrogantly dismiss some of the dissenting thoughts (as some folks are).
Yeah, moving birch trees around and adjusting radio beams to take out the Polish president is one thing...saying that it's a stretch that a tank full of Jet A fumes decided to explode in a one in a zillion chance...is not a nut-job thought.
Personally, I don't think it was a missile, and I think it's plausible that something shorted out in the tank that night at exactly the wrong time...super super super super crazy rare, but IMO, I guess that's what happened, but I still recall the tone of that film..."they didn't see a missile...we say so...we are the government...we know..." That probably did more to hurt the case than anything.
...and unfortunately, in some ways, this was one of the first crashes where the NTSB decided to use "Public Relation's" methodology (not all that well, too), and make films with somewhat condescending narration..."no, you didn't see a missile, you saw the plane".
It's fairly easy to attack a far-out theory, so there may be no end in sight in folks like Avion who happen to not-believe the official theory- and it's not good science to arrogantly dismiss some of the dissenting thoughts (as some folks are).
Yeah, moving birch trees around and adjusting radio beams to take out the Polish president is one thing...saying that it's a stretch that a tank full of Jet A fumes decided to explode in a one in a zillion chance...is not a nut-job thought.
Personally, I don't think it was a missile, and I think it's plausible that something shorted out in the tank that night at exactly the wrong time...super super super super crazy rare, but IMO, I guess that's what happened, but I still recall the tone of that film..."they didn't see a missile...we say so...we are the government...we know..." That probably did more to hurt the case than anything.
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